 after the game at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.</p>
<p>” data-medium-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=788,height=444,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addyko.jpg” data-large-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1180,height=710,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/addyko.jpg”><figcaption> Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.</figcaption></figure>
<p>Each week, <em>VikingsTerritory</em> tracks the Minnesota Vikings’ odds of reaching the postseason, starting with pre-Week 1 all the way to Week 18.</p>
<h4>Have a Look at the Vikings’ Playoff Math</h4>
<p>Various probability sources are tracked and centralized in one spot for reference. </p>
<div>
<figure><img loading=)
over the Arizona Cardinals.
DVOA = 99.7%
 celebrates his touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers in the third quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-Imagn Images</p>
<p>” data-medium-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=788,height=444,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/USATSI_24243776.jpg” data-large-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1180,height=787,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/USATSI_24243776.jpg” src=”https://vikingsterritory.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/USATSI_24243776-788×444.jpg” alt><figcaption> Brad Rempel-Imagn Images<span></span></figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>Last week, <a href=)
DVOA estimated the Vikings playoff odds at 97.8%.
The Detroit Lions were expected to win the division outright heading into Week 1 until Minnesota showed up for a surprise 5-0 start. Detroit has since reclaimed the NFC North lead and the summer forecasts feel accurate. The Vikings will play the Lions in Week 18, which could be for all the marbles. We shall see.
If Minnesota wins on Sunday, they can clinch at least a Wildcard playoff spot with a Los Angeles Rams loss versus the Buffalo Bills and a Seattle Seahawks win over the Arizona Cardinals.
Minnesota’s schedule becomes much more difficult this week and beyond, taking on the Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Seattle Seahawks, Green Bay Packers, and Detroit Lions in the next five weeks.
Sportsbooks = 99.9%
 reacts during the second quarter against the Arizona Cardinals at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.</p>
<p>” data-medium-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=788,height=444,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/greenarddpoy.jpg” data-large-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1180,height=649,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/greenarddpoy.jpg” src=”https://vikingsterritory.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/greenarddpoy-788×444.jpg” alt><figcaption> Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images.<span></span></figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p>When the regular season kicked off, most credible sportsbooks settled around a +250 moneyline for Minnesota to visit the postseason, which translated to 28.7%. That percentage and moneyline improved to 41.6%, though, after Week 1, when Minnesota crushed the New York Giants and hasn’t stopped climbing. </p>
<p>Now, you can’t even bet on the Vikings getting into the postseason. It’s that ironclad. </p>
<p>They host the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, and if they win that contest and get some help with a Buffalo Bills win over the Los Angeles Rams, plus a Seattle Seahawks dub over the Arizona Cardinals, the purple team will clinch a playoff berth.</p>
<h2>PlayoffStatus.com = <span data-color=)
99.9%
 reacts after making a catch against the Denver Broncos in the first half at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports.</p>
<p>” data-medium-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=788,height=444,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/hockball.jpg” data-large-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1180,height=585,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/hockball.jpg” src=”https://vikingsterritory.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/hockball-788×444.jpg” alt=”playoff”><figcaption> Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports.<span></span></figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p><a href=)
This site takes a more rudimentary approach to the calculation, not necessarily factoring in predictive performance. But in the interest of fairness and sheer math, PlayoffStatus.com was included for a broader view.
Power Rankings Guru = 99.9%
 warms up before the game against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images</p>
<p>” data-medium-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=788,height=444,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/USATSI_24186467.jpg” data-large-file=”https://vikingsterritory.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1180,height=787,fit=crop,quality=80,format=auto,onerror=redirect,metadata=none/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/USATSI_24186467.jpg” src=”https://vikingsterritory.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/USATSI_24186467-788×444.jpg” alt><figcaption> Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images<span></span></figcaption></figure>
</div>
<p><a href=)
This ranking tool defines itself as follows: “Our NFL playoff probabilities are calculated by averaging predictions from numberFire, ESPN, and Team Rankings. The table above shows the preseason and current playoff probabilities for each team. The change in these two predictions is also shown.”
The Vikings have defeated the Falcons five times in six attempts during the last decade.
Dustin Baker is a political scientist who graduated from the University of Minnesota in 2007. Subscribe to his daily YouTube Channel, VikesNow. The show features guests, analysis, and opinion on all things related to the purple team, with 4-7 episodes per week. His MIN obsession dates back to 1996. Listed guilty pleasures: Peanut Butter Ice Cream, ‘The Sopranos,’ Basset Hounds, and The Doors (the band). He follows the NBA as closely as the NFL.
All statistics provided by Pro Football Reference / Stathead; all contractual information provided by OverTheCap.com.
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